Churn_Modelling
About
๐ Built an AI-Powered Customer Retention System for the Zerve AI Hackathon! ๐
ChurnGuard Pro predicts which customers will churn 30-60 days BEFORE they leave - giving businesses time to save them.
๐ THE RESULTS:
โ
87.21% accuracy (ROC-AUC)
โ
57% recall - catches most churners early
โ
$34.8M annual net benefit for 10K customers
โ
Validated with 5-fold cross-validation
๐ฏ THE INNOVATION:
Most solutions just say "will they churn?"
ChurnGuard goes further:
- WHY they'll churn (risk factor analysis)
- PRIORITY scoring (risk ร customer value)
- PERSONALIZED recommendations (what to do about it)
- Risk levels (๐ด High / ๐ก Medium / ๐ข Low)
๐ก REAL RESULTS:
Test Case 1: 98% churn risk flagged โ $450K customer โ Immediate intervention
Test Case 2: 11% risk โ Loyal customer โ Efficient resource allocation
๐ง TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:
- 25 engineered features (age_risk_score, engagement_score, CLV)
- Ensemble model: Logistic Regression + Random Forest + Gradient Boosting
- Production-ready API with error handling
- Built entirely in Zerve AI in 5 days
๐ KEY INSIGHTS:
1. Customers with 3-4 products = 100% churn (complexity kills!)
2. Inactive members = 2x churn rate
3. Feature engineering > fancy algorithms
This is my FIRST end-to-end ML project as a Business Analysis student. Combined business strategy + data science + production thinking.



