Churn_Modelling
Churn_Modellingshaileshon27

Churn_Modelling

Last Updated 1 day ago

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šŸš€ Built an AI-Powered Customer Retention System for the Zerve AI Hackathon! šŸš€

ChurnGuard Pro predicts which customers will churn 30-60 days BEFORE they leave - giving businesses time to save them.


šŸ“Š THE RESULTS:

āœ… 87.21% accuracy (ROC-AUC)

āœ… 57% recall - catches most churners early

āœ… $34.8M annual net benefit for 10K customers

āœ… Validated with 5-fold cross-validation


šŸŽÆ THE INNOVATION:

Most solutions just say "will they churn?"


ChurnGuard goes further:

- WHY they'll churn (risk factor analysis)

- PRIORITY scoring (risk Ɨ customer value)

- PERSONALIZED recommendations (what to do about it)

- Risk levels (šŸ”“ High / 🟔 Medium / 🟢 Low)


šŸ’” REAL RESULTS:

Test Case 1: 98% churn risk flagged → $450K customer → Immediate intervention

Test Case 2: 11% risk → Loyal customer → Efficient resource allocation


šŸ”§ TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:

- 25 engineered features (age_risk_score, engagement_score, CLV)

- Ensemble model: Logistic Regression + Random Forest + Gradient Boosting

- Production-ready API with error handling

- Built entirely in Zerve AI in 5 days


šŸ“š KEY INSIGHTS:

1. Customers with 3-4 products = 100% churn (complexity kills!)

2. Inactive members = 2x churn rate

3. Feature engineering > fancy algorithms


This is my FIRST end-to-end ML project as a Business Analysis student. Combined business strategy + data science + production thinking.



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