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Churn_Modelling

shaileshon27
January 3, 2026

About

๐Ÿš€ Built an AI-Powered Customer Retention System for the Zerve AI Hackathon! ๐Ÿš€

ChurnGuard Pro predicts which customers will churn 30-60 days BEFORE they leave - giving businesses time to save them.


๐Ÿ“Š THE RESULTS:

โœ… 87.21% accuracy (ROC-AUC)

โœ… 57% recall - catches most churners early

โœ… $34.8M annual net benefit for 10K customers

โœ… Validated with 5-fold cross-validation


๐ŸŽฏ THE INNOVATION:

Most solutions just say "will they churn?"


ChurnGuard goes further:

- WHY they'll churn (risk factor analysis)

- PRIORITY scoring (risk ร— customer value)

- PERSONALIZED recommendations (what to do about it)

- Risk levels (๐Ÿ”ด High / ๐ŸŸก Medium / ๐ŸŸข Low)


๐Ÿ’ก REAL RESULTS:

Test Case 1: 98% churn risk flagged โ†’ $450K customer โ†’ Immediate intervention

Test Case 2: 11% risk โ†’ Loyal customer โ†’ Efficient resource allocation


๐Ÿ”ง TECHNICAL HIGHLIGHTS:

- 25 engineered features (age_risk_score, engagement_score, CLV)

- Ensemble model: Logistic Regression + Random Forest + Gradient Boosting

- Production-ready API with error handling

- Built entirely in Zerve AI in 5 days


๐Ÿ“š KEY INSIGHTS:

1. Customers with 3-4 products = 100% churn (complexity kills!)

2. Inactive members = 2x churn rate

3. Feature engineering > fancy algorithms


This is my FIRST end-to-end ML project as a Business Analysis student. Combined business strategy + data science + production thinking.



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