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offside-market

srikihv
April 27, 2026

About

An ML-powered engine that finds where Polymarket is wrong about the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Uses xG-adjusted Elo ratings trained on 732 international matches, 10,000 Monte Carlo bracket simulations, and live Polymarket odds to surface the biggest market mispricings. France overvalued by 8.5 points. Japan undervalued by 4.1 points. The crowd is wrong — and we can prove it.

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